As we head into the final months of 2025, meteorologists are forecasting a strong likelihood of La Niña conditions developing across the Pacific Ocean. According to NOAA, there’s a 71% chance La Niña will form between October and December, and a 54% chance it will persist through February 2026.

This climate pattern could bring significant weather shifts to the western U.S., especially in Oregon and Nevada—two states where water resources, agriculture, and winter recreation are closely tied to seasonal climate trends.

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What Is La Niña?

La Niña is part of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. It occurs when sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean cool, disrupting global weather patterns. In the U.S., La Niña typically leads to:

• Cooler, wetter conditions in the Pacific Northwest
• Warmer, drier conditions in the southern U.S.
• Increased storm activity and variable precipitation

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Impacts on Oregon

Oregon is expected to see classic La Niña effects, including:

• Above-average rainfall and snowfall: This could lead to flooding risks in vulnerable areas and improved snowpack in the Cascades.
• Cooler winter temperatures: Residents should prepare for colder-than-usual conditions, which may affect heating demand and transportation.
• Boost for winter recreation: Ski resorts and outdoor tourism may benefit from strong snow seasons, helping local economies.

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Impacts on Nevada

Nevada’s response to La Niña is more complex due to its diverse geography:

• Southern Nevada: Likely to experience drier conditions, increasing drought concerns and stressing water supplies.
• Northern Nevada: May see slightly wetter weather, which could help ease drought but also bring localized flooding.
• Temperature variability: Expect cooler conditions in the north, especially at higher elevations, and warmer-than-average temperatures in the south.

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What Businesses and Communities Should Watch

• Water resource planning: Snowpack and reservoir levels will be critical for both states.
• Agricultural impacts: Farmers should prepare for potential extremes—either excess moisture or prolonged dryness.
• Emergency preparedness: Flooding in Oregon and drought in Nevada may require proactive planning from local agencies.

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Final Thoughts

La Niña is a natural climate cycle, but its effects can be far-reaching. For Oregon and Nevada, the coming winter could bring both challenges and opportunities. Staying informed and prepared will be key for communities, businesses, and policymakers alike.

New Drought Insurance Program in Washington State: A Lifeline for Farmers

Introduction

Washington State, through the Department of Ecology (DOE), has launched an innovative Washington State Drought Insurance Program. The program aims at providing relief to farmers and water right holders along the Columbia River. This program is designed to mitigate the impact of drought. Although droughts are rare along the Columbia River, occurrence happens every twenty years.  Arguably, drought has become more prevalent in recent years. The last drought in 2001 was the second most severe in state-recorded history.

Understanding Washington’s Need

In Washington, water rights are crucial for farmers, especially those with junior or interruptible water rights. These junior and interruptible water rights can be curtailed during droughts to ensure sufficient water flow for fish and senior water rights holders, thus leading to financial adversity for farmers.

The Washington State Drought Insurance Program

The Washington State Drought Insurance Program offers a solution by allowing junior water right holders to lease water during drought years. This leased water is supplied from Lake Roosevelt, which has a reserve of up to 33,000 acre-feet.  The program also involves a possible purchase of the reserve water and the option for lease agreements, therefore providing options for water right holders.

How the Program Works

1. Leasing Water: Farmers can lease water from Lake Roosevelt during drought years, ensuring they have a reliable water supply even when their rights are curtailed 
2. Cost-Effective: The leased water is relatively inexpensive, costing around $35 per acre-foot 
3. Partnerships: The program is partnering with Western Water Market to reach out to water right holders and gather information about their needs

Benefits

• Reliability: Provides a dependable water source during droughts.
• Economic Stability: Helps farmers avoid the financial losses associated with water shortages.
• Environmental Protection: Ensures that water flow for fish and senior water rights holders is also maintained.

Conclusion

Washington State’s Drought Insurance Program is a proactive step towards safeguarding the agricultural sector against the unpredictable impacts of droughts. By offering a cost-effective and reliable water leasing option, the program supports farmers and promotes sustainable water management.

Make sure to follow Schroeder Law Offices’ blog for more upcoming community events, updates to agricultural and water-related issues, and more!

The Greater Idaho Movement is a fascinating and complex effort that has gained traction in recent years. This movement seeks to redraw the state boundaries. Several counties in eastern Oregon would become part of Idaho. The primary motivation behind this movement is the cultural and political differences between the rural, conservative eastern Oregon and the more urban, liberal western part of the state. 

Water: A Critical Issue in the Greater Idaho Movement

One of the critical issues at the heart of this movement is water rights. Water is a precious resource in the arid regions of eastern Oregon and Idaho. The management of water rights is crucial for agriculture, industry, and residential use. Water rights in the western United States are governed by the doctrine of prior appropriation, which essentially means “first in time, first in right.” This doctrine has been the foundation of water law in both Oregon and Idaho for over a century. However, the implementation and management of these rights can vary significantly between states.

In Oregon, water rights are managed by the Oregon Water Resources Department (OWRD). The state has a comprehensive water management plan that includes strict regulations on water usage, conservation efforts, and environmental protections. In addition, OWRD has ceded its application processes in large part to the Oregon Department of Fish & Wildlife (ODFW). These regulations can sometimes be viewed as burdensome by farmers and ranchers in eastern Oregon. They feel that their needs are not adequately represented in the state’s policies.

Idaho, on the other hand, has a more fluid approach to water management. The Idaho Department of Water Resources (IDWR) oversees water rights at the State level, but there is generally more local control and flexibility in how water is allocated and used.  Additional agencies, such as state fish and wildlife do not oversee or inform IDWR’s work. This approach is often seen as more favorable by those in the agricultural sector, as it allows for more adaptive management practices that can better respond to local conditions.

What if the Greater Idaho Movement Succeeds?

If the Greater Idaho Movement were to succeed, the counties that join Idaho would transition from Oregon’s water management system to Idaho’s. This shift could have several implications:

1. Regulatory Changes: Farmers and ranchers in these counties might experience a reduction in regulatory burdens, allowing for more flexible water usage. This could lead to increased agricultural productivity and economic benefits for the region.
2. Water Allocation: The change in state governance could also impact how water is allocated among different users. Idaho’s system might provide more opportunities for local stakeholders to influence water management decisions. That could lead to more equitable distribution of water resources.
3. Environmental Concerns: While the transition might benefit agricultural users, there could be concerns about the environmental impacts of less stringent water regulations. A critical challenge will be ensuring that water usage remains sustainable and that ecosystems are protected.
4. Interstate Water Compacts: The movement could also affect existing interstate water compacts and agreements. These legal agreements govern the allocation of water from shared rivers and aquifers between states. Any changes in state boundaries would require renegotiation of these compacts to ensure fair distribution of water resources.

Conclusion

The Greater Idaho Movement is more than just a political and cultural shift. It has significant implications for water rights and resource management. As the movement continues to evolve, it will be essential to carefully consider how these changes will impact the people and ecosystems that depend on water in this region. Balancing the needs of agricultural users with environmental sustainability will be key to ensuring a prosperous future for all involved.

Schroeder Law Offices works with clients in both Idaho and Oregon as well as Nevada, Washington and Utah.